YEARLY HIGH
1029.1861 UGX
YEARLY LOW
854.6083 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
927.0571 UGX

2021 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 1029.1861. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 854.6083.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 174.5778 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1017.6069 to the December average rate of 879.1891, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1029.1861 was down 8.91% compared to the 2020 peak of 1129.8033, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,145,930 UGX
2020 Average 5,321,967 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,273,042 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 872,888.81 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1033.4449
843.3899
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 973.6310, compared to 880.4833 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 93.1477 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 973.6310
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 880.4833

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 72.8735 UGX (High: 1015.3420 / Low: 942.4685). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.3019 UGX (High: 1011.0673 / Low: 1001.7654).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒72.8735
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒9.3019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 40.3775 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -40.3775

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1017.6069) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1106.1514), the exchange rate shifted by -88.5445 (-8.00%).

2021 Avg (January) 1017.6069
2020 Avg (January) 1106.1514

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 1029.1861 1004.7757 1017.6069
February 1011.0673 1001.7654 1005.8498
March 1002.2201 974.3959 987.7861
April 1015.3420 942.4685 983.0510
May 967.4494 921.7721 942.6735
June 927.0048 892.2988 904.8185
July 917.6319 891.9026 901.9493
August 905.3055 859.0078 867.5857
September 864.2347 854.6083 859.2278
October 920.7107 855.1736 890.5917
November 892.0823 876.0088 884.3561
December 893.1305 872.2833 879.1891