YEARLY HIGH
0.4949 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.4629 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4795 HNL

2016 PHP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PHP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 28, valuing the pair at 0.4949. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 24, dropping to 0.4629.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0319 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4721 to the December average rate of 0.4686, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4949 was down 0.33% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 123,713 HNL
2015 Average 119,191 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 115,729 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,983.75 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4926
0.4657
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.4816, compared to 0.4774 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0041 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.4816
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.4774

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was September, with a trading range of 0.0195 HNL (High: 0.4911 / Low: 0.4716). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0059 HNL (High: 0.4710 / Low: 0.4651).

September Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0195
December Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0097 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0097

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 0.4904) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4738), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0165 (+3.49%).

2016 Avg (August) 0.4904
2015 Avg (August) 0.4738

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Month High Low Average
January 0.4760 0.4687 0.4721
February 0.4775 0.4687 0.4740
March 0.4912 0.4786 0.4852
April 0.4906 0.4800 0.4870
May 0.4851 0.4773 0.4825
June 0.4937 0.4821 0.4885
July 0.4896 0.4807 0.4842
August 0.4949 0.4842 0.4904
September 0.4911 0.4716 0.4807
October 0.4764 0.4680 0.4728
November 0.4742 0.4629 0.4680
December 0.4710 0.4651 0.4686