YEARLY HIGH
73.3055 UGX
YEARLY LOW
69.8839 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
71.9622 UGX

2016 PHP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PHP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 31, valuing the pair at 73.3055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 2, dropping to 69.8839.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4216 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 72.5037 to the December average rate of 72.3366, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 73.3055 was down 8.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 80.5459, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,326,387 UGX
2015 Average 17,762,709 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,470,983 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 855,403.12 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

72.6588
70.7974
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 72.1041, compared to 71.8204 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.2837 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 72.1041
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 71.8204

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was September, with a trading range of 2.6251 UGX (High: 72.6385 / Low: 70.0133). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7734 UGX (High: 72.8238 / Low: 72.0504).

September Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.6251
June Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.7734

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.2106 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2106

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 72.1566) against the same month in 2015 (average: 66.1908), the exchange rate shifted by +5.9659 (+9.01%).

2016 Avg (March) 72.1566
2015 Avg (March) 66.1908

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Month High Low Average
January 72.9760 71.9432 72.5037
February 72.8028 70.6291 71.9908
March 73.3055 70.7472 72.1566
April 73.2055 70.6682 72.1068
May 72.4181 70.4145 71.4311
June 72.8238 72.0504 72.4356
July 72.4802 71.4582 71.8336
August 72.8943 71.6299 72.3458
September 72.6385 70.0133 71.1352
October 71.8144 69.8839 70.9526
November 72.8996 71.6356 72.3185
December 73.1520 71.0702 72.3366