YEARLY HIGH
1.7267 NPR
YEARLY LOW
1.5124 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6040 NPR

2021 RUB to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RUB to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 1.7267. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 23, dropping to 1.5124.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2143 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5707 to the December average rate of 1.6321, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.7267 was down 7.71% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.8711, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,634 NPR
2020 Average 8,228 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 7,562 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,071.53 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.6919
1.5487
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 1.5775, compared to 1.6305 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.0530 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 1.5775
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 1.6305

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0975 NPR (High: 1.6734 / Low: 1.5759). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0197 NPR (High: 1.5940 / Low: 1.5743).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0975
May Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0197

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0473 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0473

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 1.6800) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.5169), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1631 (+10.75%).

2021 Avg (October) 1.6800
2020 Avg (October) 1.5169

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5948 1.5337 1.5707
February 1.5830 1.5292 1.5643
March 1.5926 1.5124 1.5607
April 1.6006 1.5141 1.5632
May 1.5940 1.5743 1.5842
June 1.6444 1.5863 1.6217
July 1.6270 1.5967 1.6115
August 1.6299 1.5882 1.6126
September 1.6319 1.6007 1.6140
October 1.7267 1.6296 1.6800
November 1.6734 1.5759 1.6327
December 1.6586 1.5910 1.6321