YEARLY HIGH
1.4557 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.2751 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3497 RSD

2021 RUB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RUB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 1.4557. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 1.2751.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1806 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2995 to the December average rate of 1.4084, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.4557 was down 16.07% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.7345, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,278 RSD
2020 Average 7,177 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 6,375 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 902.88 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.4334
1.2814
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 1.3136, compared to 1.3857 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.0721 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 1.3136
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 1.3857

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0625 RSD (High: 1.4369 / Low: 1.3744). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0232 RSD (High: 1.3671 / Low: 1.3439).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0625
August Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0232

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0317 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0317

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 1.4207) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.2883), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1324 (+10.28%).

2021 Avg (October) 1.4207
2020 Avg (October) 1.2883

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3254 1.2751 1.2995
February 1.3219 1.2772 1.3083
March 1.3546 1.2952 1.3257
April 1.3132 1.2761 1.2940
May 1.3251 1.2926 1.3097
June 1.3644 1.3083 1.3445
July 1.3563 1.3281 1.3443
August 1.3671 1.3439 1.3580
September 1.3968 1.3495 1.3695
October 1.4557 1.3945 1.4207
November 1.4369 1.3744 1.4134
December 1.4183 1.3823 1.4084