YEARLY HIGH
0.1358 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.0737 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1063 BGN

2021 SCR to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 25, valuing the pair at 0.1358. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.0737.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0621 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0757 to the December average rate of 0.1287, the exchange rate registered a net change of 70.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.1358 was down 2.48% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.1392, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 679 BGN
2020 Average 513 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 369 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 310.37 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.1340
0.0704
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.0896, compared to 0.1230 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.0334 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.0896
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.1230

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0371 BGN (High: 0.1171 / Low: 0.0799). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 BGN (High: 0.0773 / Low: 0.0751).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0371
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0043 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0043

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 0.1271) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0811), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0460 (+56.73%).

2021 Avg (November) 0.1271
2020 Avg (November) 0.0811

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Month High Low Average
January 0.0764 0.0737 0.0757
February 0.0773 0.0751 0.0764
March 0.0814 0.0763 0.0777
April 0.1171 0.0799 0.1009
May 0.1098 0.0969 0.1024
June 0.1115 0.0969 0.1045
July 0.1223 0.1006 0.1121
August 0.1299 0.1088 0.1213
September 0.1301 0.1187 0.1265
October 0.1317 0.1128 0.1223
November 0.1358 0.1161 0.1271
December 0.1355 0.1157 0.1287