YEARLY HIGH
8.8486 KES
YEARLY LOW
5.0570 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.0345 KES

2021 SCR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 8.8486. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 5.0570.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7916 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1778 to the December average rate of 8.4012, the exchange rate registered a net change of 62.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 8.8486 was up 7.58% compared to the 2020 peak of 8.2249, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,243 KES
2020 Average 31,552 KES
Yearly Trough Low 25,285 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,957.89 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

8.7236
4.8555
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 5.9947, compared to 8.0744 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 2.0796 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 5.9947
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 8.0744

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 2.5615 KES (High: 7.7971 / Low: 5.2356). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1495 KES (High: 5.2065 / Low: 5.0570).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.5615
January Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.1495

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3584 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3584

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 8.4012) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.2135), the exchange rate shifted by +3.1878 (+61.15%).

2021 Avg (December) 8.4012
2020 Avg (December) 5.2135

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Month High Low Average
January 5.2065 5.0570 5.1778
February 5.2700 5.1075 5.1800
March 5.3844 5.1235 5.1826
April 7.7971 5.2356 6.6693
May 7.3160 6.5154 6.8273
June 7.3421 6.5279 6.9314
July 8.0072 6.5903 7.3280
August 8.5607 7.1018 7.9788
September 8.6106 7.8509 8.3962
October 8.6811 7.4347 8.0378
November 8.7953 7.5068 8.3041
December 8.8486 7.5257 8.4012