YEARLY HIGH
0.8904 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.5231 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7282 TJS

2021 SCR to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 24, valuing the pair at 0.8904. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.5231.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3673 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5359 to the December average rate of 0.8396, the exchange rate registered a net change of 56.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.8904 was up 15.31% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.7722, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,452 TJS
2020 Average 3,049 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 2,616 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,836.29 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.8969
0.5031
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.6291, compared to 0.8273 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.1982 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.6291
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.8273

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.2711 TJS (High: 0.8193 / Low: 0.5482). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0148 TJS (High: 0.5379 / Low: 0.5231).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.2711
January Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0148

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0453 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0453

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2021: 0.8322) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.5775), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2547 (+44.09%).

2021 Avg (August) 0.8322
2020 Avg (August) 0.5775

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Month High Low Average
January 0.5379 0.5231 0.5359
February 0.5478 0.5308 0.5383
March 0.5592 0.5319 0.5384
April 0.8193 0.5482 0.7043
May 0.7740 0.6911 0.7245
June 0.7770 0.6910 0.7333
July 0.8462 0.6962 0.7726
August 0.8904 0.7429 0.8322
September 0.8873 0.8060 0.8641
October 0.8796 0.7523 0.8188
November 0.8823 0.7565 0.8363
December 0.8852 0.7538 0.8396