YEARLY HIGH
4.0822 MAD
YEARLY LOW
3.8643 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9679 MAD

2021 TOP to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TOP to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 23, valuing the pair at 4.0822. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 3.8643.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2179 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9041 to the December average rate of 4.0510, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.0822 was down 7.42% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.4093, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,411 MAD
2020 Average 20,625 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 19,321 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,089.54 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.0733
3.8808
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 3.9306, compared to 4.0052 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.0746 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 3.9306
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.0052

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.0875 MAD (High: 3.9773 / Low: 3.8898). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0275 MAD (High: 3.9954 / Low: 3.9680).

March Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0875
September Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0275

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0157 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0157

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 4.0572) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.9689), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0883 (+2.23%).

2021 Avg (November) 4.0572
2020 Avg (November) 3.9689

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Month High Low Average
January 3.9256 3.8802 3.9041
February 3.9353 3.8643 3.8969
March 3.9773 3.8898 3.9497
April 3.9591 3.9128 3.9341
May 3.9664 3.9005 3.9321
June 3.9884 3.9491 3.9669
July 3.9792 3.9412 3.9601
August 3.9878 3.9335 3.9623
September 3.9954 3.9680 3.9817
October 4.0542 3.9866 4.0189
November 4.0822 4.0340 4.0572
December 4.0797 4.0210 4.0510