2021 TOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1637.9514 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1545.2299 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1583.1520 UGX

2021 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 1637.9514. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 1545.2299.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 92.7215 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1618.1932 to the December average rate of 1556.0200, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1637.9514 was down 1.73% compared to the 2020 peak of 1666.7981, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,189,757 UGX

2020 Average 8,074,680 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,726,150 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 463,607.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1624.4106

1549.8027

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1596.1455, compared to 1570.1584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 25.9871 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1596.1455

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1570.1584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 55.6481 UGX (High: 1614.3845 / Low: 1558.7363). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.1374 UGX (High: 1561.9356 / Low: 1547.7981).

October Spread (Volatile) ±55.6481

December Spread (Stable) ±14.1374

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 20.5729 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -20.5729

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1618.1932) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1601.6577), the exchange rate shifted by +16.5355 (+1.03%).

2021 Avg (January) 1618.1932

2020 Avg (January) 1601.6577

मासिक विश्लेषण

प्रत्येक कॅलेंडर महिन्यासाठी सांख्यिकीय सारांश.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1637.9514	1601.8682	1618.1932
February	1612.6296	1589.4677	1597.6204
March	1622.6212	1593.5703	1605.8780
April	1601.2162	1577.4671	1593.1479
May	1590.1530	1562.9590	1577.9136
June	1598.3058	1570.2942	1584.1201
July	1585.8380	1566.1152	1572.8266
August	1574.9260	1545.2299	1562.8471
September	1573.4437	1559.1088	1567.2076
October	1614.3845	1558.7363	1587.8019
November	1589.7752	1559.8221	1574.2470
December	1561.9356	1547.7981	1556.0200

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