YEARLY HIGH
63.5835 DJF
YEARLY LOW
50.2839 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
58.9592 DJF

2016 TRY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 1, valuing the pair at 63.5835. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 50.2839.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.2997 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 59.2073 to the December average rate of 50.9468, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 63.5835 was down 18.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 77.8295, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,179,177 DJF
2015 Average 3,277,358 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 2,514,193 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 664,983.78 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

63.8343
49.7752
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 60.8667, compared to 57.0518 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 3.8149 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 60.8667
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 57.0518

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 5.5971 DJF (High: 57.2389 / Low: 51.6418). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3369 DJF (High: 60.5788 / Low: 59.2418).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒5.5971
September Spread (Stable) ┬▒1.3369

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 3.7437 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7437

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 60.3707) against the same month in 2015 (average: 67.0662), the exchange rate shifted by -6.6955 (-9.98%).

2016 Avg (May) 60.3707
2015 Avg (May) 67.0662

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 60.9343 58.2768 59.2073
February 60.9044 59.3669 60.3282
March 62.9907 60.3759 61.6580
April 63.5189 62.1489 62.6627
May 63.5835 59.2719 60.3707
June 62.1097 60.2993 60.9733
July 61.4316 57.7617 59.7251
August 60.7080 58.8721 59.9123
September 60.5788 59.2418 59.7923
October 59.2115 56.9894 57.8389
November 57.2389 51.6418 54.0952
December 52.2026 50.2839 50.9468