YEARLY HIGH
0.8533 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.7178 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7827 GEL

2016 TRY to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 0.8533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 23, dropping to 0.7178.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1355 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8119 to the December average rate of 0.7574, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8533 was down 6.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9147, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,665 GEL
2015 Average 40,433 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 35,892 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,772.78 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8532
0.7314
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.7948, compared to 0.7707 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0241 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.7948
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.7707

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0887 GEL (High: 0.8145 / Low: 0.7258). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0107 GEL (High: 0.7849 / Low: 0.7743).

June Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0887
September Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0107

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0542 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0542

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.8431) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7164), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1267 (+17.69%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.8431
2015 Avg (February) 0.7164

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8353 0.7953 0.8119
February 0.8533 0.8252 0.8431
March 0.8488 0.7981 0.8240
April 0.8147 0.7838 0.7957
May 0.7962 0.7178 0.7415
June 0.8145 0.7258 0.7524
July 0.8130 0.7639 0.7883
August 0.7937 0.7739 0.7828
September 0.7849 0.7743 0.7783
October 0.7782 0.7602 0.7666
November 0.7755 0.7244 0.7507
December 0.7976 0.7215 0.7574