YEARLY HIGH
4.5873 MDL
YEARLY LOW
2.3792 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5810 MDL

2018 TRY to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 4.5873. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 2.3792.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2082 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4944 to the December average rate of 3.2340, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.5873 was down 18.89% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.6559, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 229,367 MDL
2017 Average 253,290 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 118,958 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 110,409.50 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.6774
2.4812
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 4.1037, compared to 3.0582 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 1.0455 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 4.1037
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 3.0582

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.9555 MDL (High: 3.3346 / Low: 2.3792). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1248 MDL (High: 4.4757 / Low: 4.3509).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.9555
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.1248

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.6794 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6794

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.4944) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.3645), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8702 (-16.22%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.4944
2017 Avg (January) 5.3645

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5873 4.4041 4.4944
February 4.4757 4.3509 4.4052
March 4.3921 4.0996 4.2575
April 4.1674 3.9509 4.0494
May 4.0389 3.5339 3.7709
June 3.7525 3.5422 3.6449
July 3.6804 3.3805 3.5041
August 3.3346 2.3792 2.8246
September 2.8128 2.5017 2.6642
October 3.1285 2.7418 2.9295
November 3.3173 3.1010 3.1927
December 3.2989 3.1676 3.2340