YEARLY HIGH
27.4945 NPR
YEARLY LOW
16.0795 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
23.1539 NPR

2018 TRY to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 22, valuing the pair at 27.4945. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 16.0795.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.4151 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 26.9951 to the December average rate of 21.2846, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 27.4945 was down 11.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 30.8996, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,374,727 NPR
2017 Average 1,429,766 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 803,975 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 570,752.53 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

28.1046
17.3836
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 25.7723, compared to 20.5356 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 5.2367 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 25.7723
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 20.5356

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 5.9022 NPR (High: 21.9817 / Low: 16.0795). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5008 NPR (High: 27.2042 / Low: 26.7034).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒5.9022
January Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.5008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 4.1465 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1465

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 27.2111) against the same month in 2017 (average: 29.2820), the exchange rate shifted by -2.0708 (-7.07%).

2018 Avg (February) 27.2111
2017 Avg (February) 29.2820

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Month High Low Average
January 27.2042 26.7034 26.9951
February 27.4945 26.8680 27.2111
March 27.3977 25.9937 26.7321
April 26.4070 25.1809 25.8635
May 25.9104 22.9630 24.4082
June 24.1156 22.8341 23.4236
July 24.1127 22.3065 23.0375
August 21.9817 16.0795 18.8910
September 19.3402 17.1272 18.2770
October 21.5333 19.0604 20.2780
November 21.9809 21.1759 21.4454
December 21.5393 20.9405 21.2846