YEARLY HIGH
15.5141 RUB
YEARLY LOW
9.7284 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.2479 RUB

2018 TRY to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 30, valuing the pair at 15.5141. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 9.7284.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7857 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.0252 to the December average rate of 12.7315, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 15.5141 was down 10.73% compared to the 2017 peak of 17.3790, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 775,704 RUB
2017 Average 800,548 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 486,421 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 289,283.08 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

15.4566
10.2795
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 14.5568, compared to 11.9389 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 2.6180 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 14.5568
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 11.9389

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 2.9089 RUB (High: 12.6373 / Low: 9.7284). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4948 RUB (High: 15.2837 / Low: 14.7889).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.9089
January Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.4948

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.9209 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9209

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 14.9565) against the same month in 2017 (average: 15.5022), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5457 (-3.52%).

2018 Avg (April) 14.9565
2017 Avg (April) 15.5022

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 15.2837 14.7889 15.0252
February 15.2826 14.7007 15.0230
March 14.9698 14.3627 14.6781
April 15.5141 14.2676 14.9565
May 15.4378 12.9400 14.0977
June 13.9531 13.2039 13.5605
July 13.7723 12.6551 13.1783
August 12.6373 9.7284 11.2574
September 11.1420 10.2331 10.7110
October 11.9714 10.8026 11.3410
November 12.8562 11.8894 12.4141
December 13.1818 12.3862 12.7315