2018 TRY to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

979.4374 UGX

YEARLY LOW

538.8013 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

793.2504 UGX

2018 TRY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 979.4374. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 538.8013.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 440.6361 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 965.1735 to the December average rate of 699.4075, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 979.4374 was down 7.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 1063.2591, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,971,871 UGX

2017 Average 49,650,714 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 26,940,067 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,031,803.62 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1001.4120

566.5494

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 907.9554, compared to 678.5454 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 229.4100 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 907.9554

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 678.5454

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 201.8085 UGX (High: 740.6098 / Low: 538.8013). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 21.3577 UGX (High: 971.8303 / Low: 950.4726).

August Spread (Volatile) ±201.8085

February Spread (Stable) ±21.3577

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 154.5441 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -154.5441

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 965.1735) against the same month in 2017 (average: 966.8959), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7224 (-0.18%).

2018 Avg (January) 965.1735

2017 Avg (January) 966.8959

मासिक विश्लेषण

प्रत्येक कॅलेंडर महिन्यासाठी सांख्यिकीय सारांश.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	979.4374	951.5710	965.1735
February	971.8303	950.4726	961.4931
March	959.8816	915.5693	939.1890
April	933.0801	891.4344	909.9852
May	906.2446	789.4133	842.7298
June	853.9126	810.4857	829.1618
July	848.5362	751.2088	787.8707
August	740.6098	538.8013	633.3266
September	636.5841	565.7605	602.7879
October	686.7588	611.4658	650.5755
November	721.2331	676.8156	697.3042
December	719.5320	687.4659	699.4075

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