YEARLY HIGH
4.2915 KES
YEARLY LOW
3.8141 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0223 KES

2021 UAH to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UAH to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 10, valuing the pair at 4.2915. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 13, dropping to 3.8141.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4774 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8957 to the December average rate of 4.1513, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.2915 was up 0.48% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.2709, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,457 KES
2020 Average 19,765 KES
Yearly Trough Low 19,071 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,386.84 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.2638
3.8335
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 3.9166, compared to 4.1279 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.2113 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 3.9166
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.1279

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.1553 KES (High: 4.2915 / Low: 4.1362). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0429 KES (High: 3.9659 / Low: 3.9230).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.1553
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0429

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0773 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0773

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 4.2279) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.8617), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3662 (+9.48%).

2021 Avg (November) 4.2279
2020 Avg (November) 3.8617

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Month High Low Average
January 3.9323 3.8435 3.8957
February 3.9659 3.9230 3.9333
March 3.9693 3.9182 3.9467
April 3.9235 3.8141 3.8694
May 3.9455 3.8376 3.8936
June 4.0025 3.9250 3.9613
July 4.0477 3.9395 3.9777
August 4.1182 4.0344 4.0823
September 4.1552 4.0674 4.1219
October 4.2385 4.1500 4.2062
November 4.2915 4.1362 4.2279
December 4.1950 4.1188 4.1513