YEARLY HIGH
7.5976 PHP
YEARLY LOW
4.6105 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4445 PHP

2016 VEF to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 7.5976. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 8, dropping to 4.6105.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9871 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5187 to the December average rate of 4.9840, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.5976 was up 0.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.5272, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,988 PHP
2015 Average 36,027 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 23,053 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,935.40 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.8231
4.3592
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 6.0703, compared to 4.8188 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 1.2516 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 6.0703
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.8188

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.2244 PHP (High: 7.4835 / Low: 7.2591). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0523 PHP (High: 5.0109 / Low: 4.9585).

March Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.2244
December Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.7188 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7188

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 7.5187) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.0581), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4606 (+6.53%).

2016 Avg (January) 7.5187
2015 Avg (January) 7.0581

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Month High Low Average
January 7.5976 7.4237 7.5187
February 7.5714 7.5106 7.5345
March 7.4835 7.2591 7.3666
April 4.7133 4.6118 4.6479
May 4.7453 4.6686 4.6952
June 4.7220 4.6105 4.6590
July 4.7392 4.6851 4.7123
August 4.7152 4.6382 4.6723
September 4.8474 4.6631 4.7644
October 4.8716 4.8158 4.8458
November 5.0108 4.8423 4.9337
December 5.0109 4.9585 4.9840