YEARLY HIGH
7.8979 CDF
YEARLY LOW
4.3891 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5645 CDF

2018 MRO to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MRO to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 7.8979. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 4.3891.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5087 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5120 to the December average rate of 4.5537, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.8979 was up 73.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.5537, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,489 CDF
2017 Average 20,258 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 21,946 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,543.68 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.7985
4.4859
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5351, compared to 4.5939 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0588 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5351
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5939

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 3.3881 CDF (High: 7.8979 / Low: 4.5098). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0151 CDF (High: 4.5429 / Low: 4.5278).

October Spread (Volatile) ±3.3881
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0151

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2261 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2261

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 4.7725) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.3418), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4307 (+9.92%).

2018 Avg (October) 4.7725
2017 Avg (October) 4.3418

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5647 4.4114 4.5120
February 4.5806 4.5007 4.5321
March 4.5664 4.5156 4.5468
April 4.5761 4.5170 4.5424
May 4.5457 4.5278 4.5389
June 4.5429 4.5278 4.5385
July 4.6594 4.3891 4.5508
August 4.6013 4.5175 4.5613
September 4.6126 4.5455 4.5789
October 7.8979 4.5098 4.7725
November 4.6058 4.5098 4.5464
December 4.5988 4.5098 4.5537