YEARLY HIGH
4.7710 AOA
YEARLY LOW
3.7381 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5869 AOA

2016 MUR to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MUR to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 16, valuing the pair at 4.7710. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 3.7381.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0328 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1317 to the December average rate of 4.6117, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.7710 was up 24.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.8471, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,855 AOA
2015 Average 17,043 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 18,691 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,164.24 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.7727
4.0734
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5109, compared to 4.6628 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1519 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5109
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6628

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.5982 AOA (High: 4.3364 / Low: 3.7381). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0187 AOA (High: 4.6867 / Low: 4.6679).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5982
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0187

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0398 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0398

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 4.7144) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.5564), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1581 (+32.56%).

2016 Avg (August) 4.7144
2015 Avg (August) 3.5564

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3364 3.7381 4.1317
February 4.4734 4.3074 4.4019
March 4.5519 4.4156 4.4751
April 4.7355 4.5561 4.6687
May 4.7307 4.6806 4.7136
June 4.6958 4.6496 4.6745
July 4.6867 4.6679 4.6771
August 4.7710 4.6603 4.7144
September 4.7085 4.6675 4.6922
October 4.6843 4.6178 4.6525
November 4.6690 4.5986 4.6291
December 4.6250 4.6009 4.6117