YEARLY HIGH
3.1776 KES
YEARLY LOW
2.8704 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.9791 KES

2018 MUR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MUR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 3.1776. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 2.8704.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3072 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1216 to the December average rate of 2.9749, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.1776 was up 0.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.1638, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,888 KES
2017 Average 14,995 KES
Yearly Trough Low 14,352 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,535.95 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.1421
2.8957
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0195, compared to 2.9387 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0808 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0195
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.9387

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.1586 KES (High: 3.1776 / Low: 3.0190). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0341 KES (High: 2.9560 / Low: 2.9219).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1586
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0341

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0723 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0723

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 3.1094) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.9169), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1925 (+6.60%).

2018 Avg (February) 3.1094
2017 Avg (February) 2.9169

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.1674 3.0684 3.1216
February 3.1776 3.0190 3.1094
March 3.0919 3.0346 3.0593
April 3.0423 2.9415 2.9870
May 2.9507 2.8993 2.9162
June 2.9817 2.8704 2.9234
July 2.9544 2.8984 2.9247
August 2.9476 2.8854 2.9182
September 2.9560 2.9219 2.9356
October 2.9539 2.9109 2.9269
November 2.9799 2.9119 2.9518
December 3.0031 2.9502 2.9749