YEARLY HIGH
4.5578 AFN
YEARLY LOW
4.2709 AFN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4405 AFN

2016 MVR to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MVR to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 4.5578. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 4.2709.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2869 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4808 to the December average rate of 4.3376, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.5578 was up 1.51% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.4899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,789 AFN
2015 Average 20,027 AFN
Yearly Trough Low 21,355 AFN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,434.33 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.5444
4.2939
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4947, compared to 4.3862 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1085 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4947
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3862

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.1974 AFN (High: 4.5250 / Low: 4.3276). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0384 AFN (High: 4.3352 / Low: 4.2968).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1974
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0384

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0923 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0923

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 4.4870) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.7913), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6957 (+18.35%).

2016 Avg (April) 4.4870
2015 Avg (April) 3.7913

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5049 4.4550 4.4808
February 4.5568 4.4620 4.5017
March 4.5141 4.4563 4.4868
April 4.5578 4.4586 4.4870
May 4.5184 4.4557 4.4886
June 4.5476 4.4810 4.5234
July 4.5480 4.5010 4.5235
August 4.5250 4.3276 4.4312
September 4.4504 4.2975 4.3690
October 4.3352 4.2968 4.3148
November 4.3848 4.3001 4.3413
December 4.3834 4.2709 4.3376