YEARLY HIGH
107.7099 CDF
YEARLY LOW
100.7042 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
104.8726 CDF

2018 MVR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 107.7099. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 100.7042.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.0057 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 103.9535 to the December average rate of 105.1883, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 107.7099 was down 4.82% compared to the 2017 peak of 113.1614, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 538,549 CDF
2017 Average 472,524 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 503,521 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,028.28 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

106.2470
103.7450
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 104.3869, compared to 105.3584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9715 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 104.3869
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 105.3584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 7.0057 CDF (High: 107.7099 / Low: 100.7042). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8491 CDF (High: 104.9342 / Low: 104.0851).

July Spread (Volatile) ±7.0057
June Spread (Stable) ±0.8491

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.5434 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5434

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 105.0290) against the same month in 2017 (average: 100.4316), the exchange rate shifted by +4.5974 (+4.58%).

2018 Avg (July) 105.0290
2017 Avg (July) 100.4316

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 104.7604 101.4842 103.9535
February 105.1826 103.8162 104.3453
March 105.0169 104.0471 104.6715
April 104.9342 103.7015 104.6689
May 104.5613 103.5675 104.1477
June 104.9342 104.0851 104.5345
July 107.7099 100.7042 105.0290
August 106.2527 104.5278 105.3766
September 106.7786 105.4307 106.0385
October 106.6725 104.2044 105.4951
November 106.4244 104.2044 105.0230
December 106.1277 104.1397 105.1883