2012 MVR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.0021 DJF

YEARLY LOW

11.3778 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.1458 DJF

2012 MVR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MVR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 13.0021. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 15, dropping to 11.3778.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6243 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.6576 to the December average rate of 11.5655, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 13.0021 was down 6.39% compared to the 2011 peak of 13.8899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,010 DJF

2011 Average 65,366 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 56,889 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,121.37 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

12.8197

11.4212

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.6850, compared to 11.6066 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0784 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.6850

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.6066

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 1.4833 DJF (High: 13.0021 / Low: 11.5188). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0823 DJF (High: 11.5849 / Low: 11.5026).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.4833

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0823

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.8162 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8162

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 11.8808) against the same month in 2011 (average: 12.6209), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7401 (-5.86%).

2012 Avg (July) 11.8808

2011 Avg (July) 12.6209

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.7222	12.6278	12.6576
February	12.7550	12.6234	12.6627
March	12.7606	12.6275	12.6886
April	12.7787	12.6316	12.7008
May	12.7606	12.6585	12.7032
June	12.7515	12.6615	12.6970
July	13.0021	11.5188	11.8808
August	11.6232	11.5123	11.5618
September	11.6165	11.5044	11.5511
October	11.5882	11.3778	11.5377
November	11.5849	11.5026	11.5423
December	11.6291	11.4909	11.5655