YEARLY HIGH
0.1821 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.1388 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1549 GEL

2016 MVR to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MVR to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.1821. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 12, dropping to 0.1388.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0433 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1592 to the December average rate of 0.1732, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1821 was up 13.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1607, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 910 GEL
2015 Average 722 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 694 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 216.43 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1763
0.1396
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1519, compared to 0.1579 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0060 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1519
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1579

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0162 GEL (High: 0.1550 / Low: 0.1388). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 GEL (High: 0.1637 / Low: 0.1612).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0162
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0077 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0077

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.1732) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1563), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0169 (+10.84%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.1732
2015 Avg (December) 0.1563

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1625 0.1563 0.1592
February 0.1637 0.1612 0.1623
March 0.1618 0.1497 0.1556
April 0.1515 0.1454 0.1479
May 0.1456 0.1399 0.1426
June 0.1550 0.1388 0.1436
July 0.1552 0.1521 0.1541
August 0.1559 0.1497 0.1526
September 0.1531 0.1502 0.1513
October 0.1568 0.1528 0.1543
November 0.1669 0.1573 0.1618
December 0.1821 0.1674 0.1732