YEARLY HIGH
18.5928 HUF
YEARLY LOW
16.0461 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
17.5010 HUF

2018 MVR to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 18.5928. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 16.0461.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5467 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.4496 to the December average rate of 18.3516, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 18.5928 was down 4.51% compared to the 2017 peak of 19.4702, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 92,964 HUF
2017 Average 88,826 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 80,231 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,733.62 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

18.5512
16.1568
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.8082, compared to 18.1939 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3857 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.8082
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.1939

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 1.0184 HUF (High: 18.4350 / Low: 17.4166). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2727 HUF (High: 16.5322 / Low: 16.2595).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.0184
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2727

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0932 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0932

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 18.3427) against the same month in 2017 (average: 17.2856), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0571 (+6.12%).

2018 Avg (November) 18.3427
2017 Avg (November) 17.2856

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.8424 16.1525 16.4496
February 16.6523 16.0461 16.3563
March 16.5322 16.2595 16.3902
April 16.7979 16.2532 16.4645
May 17.9305 16.9271 17.2890
June 18.4350 17.4166 17.8994
July 18.3940 17.7929 17.9891
August 18.4985 17.8551 18.1296
September 18.2948 17.8379 18.0770
October 18.5735 17.9954 18.2733
November 18.5928 18.1404 18.3427
December 18.5307 18.1080 18.3516