YEARLY HIGH
0.6127 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.5669 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5924 TJS

2018 MVR to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 24, valuing the pair at 0.6127. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 8, dropping to 0.5669.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0458 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5726 to the December average rate of 0.6097, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6127 was down 1.70% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6233, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,064 TJS
2017 Average 2,785 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 2,835 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 229.00 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6151
0.5669
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5760, compared to 0.6089 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0329 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5760
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6089

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0170 TJS (High: 0.6120 / Low: 0.5950). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0021 TJS (High: 0.6105 / Low: 0.6084).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0170
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0021

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0010 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0010

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.6110) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5718), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0392 (+6.85%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.6110
2017 Avg (September) 0.5718

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5756 0.5683 0.5726
February 0.5732 0.5703 0.5716
March 0.5729 0.5688 0.5709
April 0.5767 0.5669 0.5739
May 0.5814 0.5760 0.5789
June 0.5954 0.5800 0.5880
July 0.6120 0.5950 0.6028
August 0.6120 0.6070 0.6099
September 0.6127 0.6090 0.6110
October 0.6121 0.6068 0.6104
November 0.6102 0.6047 0.6094
December 0.6105 0.6084 0.6097