2016 MVR to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6639 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.4117 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5938 VEF

2016 MVR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MVR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 30, valuing the pair at 0.6639. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.4117.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2522 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4129 to the December average rate of 0.6520, the exchange rate registered a net change of 57.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6639 was up 59.49% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4163, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,320 VEF

2015 Average 2,066 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 2,059 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,260.99 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6819

0.3884

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5332, compared to 0.6545 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1213 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5332

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6545

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0139 VEF (High: 0.6639 / Low: 0.6500). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 VEF (High: 0.6556 / Low: 0.6527).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0139

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0032 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.6527) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4133), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2394 (+57.92%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.6527

2015 Avg (June) 0.4133

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4146	0.4117	0.4129
February	0.4155	0.4120	0.4131
March	0.4166	0.4124	0.4143
April	0.6625	0.6503	0.6538
May	0.6544	0.6498	0.6521
June	0.6639	0.6500	0.6527
July	0.6625	0.6548	0.6574
August	0.6608	0.6541	0.6570
September	0.6556	0.6527	0.6538
October	0.6554	0.6505	0.6536
November	0.6577	0.6483	0.6530
December	0.6571	0.6479	0.6520