2016 MZN to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.9588 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.2599 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.9400 DJF

2016 MZN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MZN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 3.9588. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 3, dropping to 2.2599.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6989 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8368 to the December average rate of 2.4484, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.9588 was down 28.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.5252, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,794 DJF

2015 Average 23,168 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 11,300 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,494.25 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.9916

2.1337

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MZN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4429, compared to 2.4371 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0058 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4429

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4371

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.3566 DJF (High: 3.9588 / Low: 3.6021). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0501 DJF (High: 2.3100 / Low: 2.2599).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.3566

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0501

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.3036 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3036

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 3.6795) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.2751), the exchange rate shifted by -1.5955 (-30.25%).

2016 Avg (February) 3.6795

2015 Avg (February) 5.2751

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.9568	3.7380	3.8368
February	3.9588	3.6021	3.6795
March	3.7101	3.4621	3.5477
April	3.5189	3.3311	3.4183
May	3.3235	3.0994	3.2393
June	3.0569	2.7998	2.9357
July	2.7986	2.5922	2.7072
August	2.5799	2.4314	2.5028
September	2.4323	2.2923	2.3388
October	2.3100	2.2599	2.2885
November	2.3946	2.3008	2.3372
December	2.5032	2.3914	2.4484