YEARLY HIGH
0.6986 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.5339 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6145 MOP

2018 NAD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NAD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 0.6986. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 0.5339.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1648 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6610 to the December average rate of 0.5662, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6986 was up 6.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6542, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,493 MOP
2017 Average 3,018 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,669 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 823.78 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6943
0.5396
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NAD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6581, compared to 0.5708 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0873 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6581
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5708

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0592 MOP (High: 0.6439 / Low: 0.5847). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0244 MOP (High: 0.6591 / Low: 0.6348).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0592
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0244

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0348 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0348

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.6814) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6054), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0760 (+12.56%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.6814
2017 Avg (February) 0.6054

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6825 0.6466 0.6610
February 0.6986 0.6623 0.6814
March 0.6940 0.6689 0.6813
April 0.6832 0.6501 0.6680
May 0.6591 0.6348 0.6460
June 0.6439 0.5847 0.6112
July 0.6166 0.5836 0.6007
August 0.6116 0.5558 0.5774
September 0.5706 0.5339 0.5525
October 0.5698 0.5430 0.5564
November 0.5883 0.5577 0.5717
December 0.5893 0.5537 0.5662