2016 NGN to SLL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

21.1148 SLL

YEARLY LOW

13.9248 SLL

YEARLY AVERAGE

18.9899 SLL

2016 NGN to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NGN to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 21.1148. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 23, dropping to 13.9248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.1900 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.8393 to the December average rate of 17.5666, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 21.1148 was down 10.17% compared to the 2015 peak of 23.5045, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,114,759 SLL

2015 Average 20,965,585 SLL

Yearly Trough Low 13,924,797 SLL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,189,961.39 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

21.1980

16.8938

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.0623, compared to 17.9175 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1448 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.0623

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.9175

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 5.9534 SLL (High: 19.8782 / Low: 13.9248). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1536 SLL (High: 19.8864 / Low: 19.7328).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.9534

May Spread (Stable) ±0.1536

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.6457 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6457

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 20.8393) against the same month in 2015 (average: 22.6338), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7945 (-7.93%).

2016 Avg (January) 20.8393

2015 Avg (January) 22.6338

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	21.1148	20.6736	20.8393
February	20.7659	20.4054	20.5880
March	20.5059	20.0735	20.3333
April	20.0739	19.8128	19.9280
May	19.8864	19.7328	19.8253
June	19.8782	13.9248	18.8600
July	19.5785	17.3280	18.8981
August	17.9902	16.1394	17.2525
September	18.1564	17.6722	17.9953
October	18.2188	17.8042	17.9629
November	18.0351	17.6613	17.8295
December	17.9631	17.3787	17.5666