YEARLY HIGH
3.1295 SOS
YEARLY LOW
1.6729 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4360 SOS

2016 NGN to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NGN to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 3.1295. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 1.6729.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4566 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1090 to the December average rate of 1.8199, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.1295 was down 22.36% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.0307, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,129,501 SOS
2015 Average 3,409,878 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 1,672,941 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,456,560.23 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.2392
1.6777
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0096, compared to 1.8623 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1473 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0096
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8623

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.9499 SOS (High: 3.0129 / Low: 2.0630). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0343 SOS (High: 1.8834 / Low: 1.8491).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.9499
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0343

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6984 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6984

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 3.1090) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.8487), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7396 (-19.22%).

2016 Avg (January) 3.1090
2015 Avg (January) 3.8487

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.1295 3.0764 3.1090
February 3.1045 3.0628 3.0800
March 3.0927 3.0577 3.0771
April 3.0927 3.0308 3.0645
May 3.0833 2.9709 3.0346
June 3.0129 2.0630 2.6925
July 2.0855 1.8055 1.9942
August 1.8752 1.6729 1.8078
September 1.8834 1.8491 1.8641
October 1.8877 1.8252 1.8578
November 1.8567 1.7630 1.8302
December 1.8980 1.7571 1.8199