YEARLY HIGH
3.7068 KES
YEARLY LOW
3.4614 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5507 KES

2016 NIO to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NIO to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 3.7068. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 3.4614.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2454 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6792 to the December average rate of 3.4875, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.7068 was down 4.79% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.8934, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,534 KES
2015 Average 18,129 KES
Yearly Trough Low 17,307 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,226.85 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.6983
3.4684
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5967, compared to 3.5047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0921 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5967
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0935 KES (High: 3.7050 / Low: 3.6115). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0232 KES (High: 3.5523 / Low: 3.5291).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0935
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0232

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0545 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0545

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 3.6792) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.4382), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2410 (+7.01%).

2016 Avg (January) 3.6792
2015 Avg (January) 3.4382

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7068 3.6558 3.6792
February 3.7050 3.6115 3.6370
March 3.6093 3.5774 3.5922
April 3.6123 3.5624 3.5922
May 3.5531 3.5244 3.5376
June 3.5523 3.5291 3.5422
July 3.5567 3.5139 3.5435
August 3.5459 3.4977 3.5177
September 3.5133 3.4874 3.4965
October 3.5037 3.4802 3.4895
November 3.5123 3.4817 3.4932
December 3.5213 3.4614 3.4875