2016 NPR to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

130.7902 IDR

YEARLY LOW

121.4210 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

123.8049 IDR

2016 NPR to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NPR to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 130.7902. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 121.4210.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.3692 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 128.8573 to the December average rate of 123.5481, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 130.7902 was down 6.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 140.2702, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 653,951 IDR

2015 Average 652,286 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 607,105 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,846.04 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

129.5412

121.3345

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 124.8386, compared to 122.7712 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0674 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 124.8386

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 122.7712

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 4.9014 IDR (High: 126.5909 / Low: 121.6895). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8213 IDR (High: 122.5016 / Low: 121.6804).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.9014

July Spread (Stable) ±0.8213

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 5.0092 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.0092

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 128.8573) against the same month in 2015 (average: 126.0291), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8282 (+2.24%).

2016 Avg (January) 128.8573

2015 Avg (January) 126.0291

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	130.7902	126.5051	128.8573
February	126.3610	121.6046	123.8481
March	125.4351	121.4210	122.9585
April	124.4229	123.2656	123.8429
May	126.8645	123.5035	125.4496
June	126.5909	121.6895	124.0749
July	122.5016	121.6804	122.0184
August	123.8429	122.2602	122.9186
September	123.9779	121.4368	122.8772
October	122.8303	121.6036	122.0519
November	124.4088	122.1329	123.2127
December	124.1066	122.8583	123.5481