YEARLY HIGH
5.8761 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.0641 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5238 SOS

2016 NPR to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NPR to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 5.8761. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 5.0641.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8120 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7504 to the December average rate of 5.2774, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.8761 was down 18.88% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.2436, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,380 SOS
2015 Average 32,904 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 25,320 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,060.06 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.7977
5.2302
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.6540, compared to 5.3936 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2605 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.6540
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3936

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3737 SOS (High: 5.4378 / Low: 5.0641). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0639 SOS (High: 5.4676 / Low: 5.4037).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3737
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0639

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1827 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1827

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.7504) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.1727), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4222 (-19.83%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.7504
2015 Avg (January) 7.1727

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8761 5.6327 5.7504
February 5.6883 5.5519 5.6142
March 5.7885 5.5926 5.7178
April 5.8019 5.6707 5.7354
May 5.7258 5.4978 5.6445
June 5.5706 5.3586 5.4619
July 5.4707 5.3425 5.4175
August 5.4676 5.4037 5.4407
September 5.5096 5.4314 5.4632
October 5.5222 5.3732 5.4488
November 5.4378 5.0641 5.3139
December 5.3683 5.1336 5.2774