2017 PAB to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3664.9000 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3560.6000 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

3616.2390 UGX

2017 PAB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the PAB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 20, valuing the pair at 3664.9000. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 3560.6000.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 104.3000 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3616.2732 to the December average rate of 3627.4323, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 3664.9000 was up 0.93% compared to the 2016 peak of 3631.2667, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PAB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,324,500 UGX

2016 Average 17,087,233 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 17,803,000 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 521,500.00 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

3643.2210

3584.5336

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PAB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3609.6817, compared to 3622.7963 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 13.1146 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3609.6817

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3622.7963

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was July, with a trading range of 66.0331 UGX (High: 3626.6331 / Low: 3560.6000). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 40.8581 UGX (High: 3637.2081 / Low: 3596.3500).

July Spread (Volatile) ±66.0331

December Spread (Stable) ±40.8581

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 34.0175 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -34.0175

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2017: 3638.3304) against the same month in 2016 (average: 3430.3231), the exchange rate shifted by +208.0073 (+6.06%).

2017 Avg (October) 3638.3304

2016 Avg (October) 3430.3231

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3644.9569	3590.0030	3616.2732
February	3620.4242	3566.1500	3589.4242
March	3637.5661	3571.5500	3608.1979
April	3664.2000	3600.5500	3630.6638
May	3649.6081	3593.2000	3623.7745
June	3620.5331	3564.2000	3589.7569
July	3626.6331	3560.6000	3607.1760
August	3635.7581	3583.1000	3614.0262
September	3637.5661	3588.6000	3612.1599
October	3664.9000	3606.9500	3638.3304
November	3664.7500	3617.0500	3637.6530
December	3637.2081	3596.3500	3627.4323