YEARLY HIGH
4.7407 ARS
YEARLY LOW
3.7930 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3744 ARS

2016 PEN to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PEN to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 4.7407. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 3.7930.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9477 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9472 to the December average rate of 4.6637, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.7407 was up 20.29% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.9409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,703 ARS
2015 Average 14,534 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 18,965 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,738.45 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.7353
3.8756
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2345, compared to 4.5143 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2798 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2345
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5143

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.4788 ARS (High: 4.6011 / Low: 4.1223). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0834 ARS (High: 4.5105 / Low: 4.4270).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.4788
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0834

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1183 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1183

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4.6637) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.3547), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3090 (+39.02%).

2016 Avg (December) 4.6637
2015 Avg (December) 3.3547

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0559 3.7930 3.9472
February 4.4788 4.0373 4.2191
March 4.4855 4.2491 4.3783
April 4.4285 4.2802 4.3582
May 4.3524 4.1401 4.2399
June 4.6011 4.1223 4.2641
July 4.5820 4.4470 4.5084
August 4.5105 4.4270 4.4528
September 4.5480 4.4005 4.4673
October 4.5323 4.4397 4.4849
November 4.6573 4.4250 4.5086
December 4.7407 4.5629 4.6637