YEARLY HIGH
8.5839 ETB
YEARLY LOW
8.2538 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.4207 ETB

2018 PEN to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PEN to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 8.5839. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 8.2538.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3301 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.5362 to the December average rate of 8.3807, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.5839 was up 1.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.4981, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,919 ETB
2017 Average 36,769 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 41,269 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,650.39 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.5600
8.2752
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.4675, compared to 8.3738 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0937 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.4675
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.3738

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.2011 ETB (High: 8.4958 / Low: 8.2947). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0560 ETB (High: 8.4544 / Low: 8.3983).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2011
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0560

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0994 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0994

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 8.5362) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.7598), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7764 (+26.28%).

2018 Avg (January) 8.5362
2017 Avg (January) 6.7598

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5839 8.4515 8.5362
February 8.5833 8.3841 8.4652
March 8.5665 8.3786 8.4612
April 8.5557 8.4509 8.5076
May 8.4776 8.3546 8.4082
June 8.4544 8.3983 8.4265
July 8.4885 8.3541 8.4166
August 8.4853 8.3183 8.4009
September 8.4958 8.2947 8.3789
October 8.4405 8.2894 8.3669
November 8.3367 8.2538 8.2990
December 8.4800 8.2944 8.3807