YEARLY HIGH
1.2672 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.9774 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1101 BRL

2018 PGK to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 1.2672. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 0.9774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2898 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9955 to the December average rate of 1.1557, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.2672 was up 19.74% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0583, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,336 BRL
2017 Average 5,005 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 4,887 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,449.11 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.2570
0.9717
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0564, compared to 1.1638 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1075 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0564
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1638

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1317 BRL (High: 1.2523 / Low: 1.1206). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0284 BRL (High: 1.1696 / Low: 1.1412).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1317
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0284

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1111 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1111

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.2333) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9780), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2553 (+26.11%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.2333
2017 Avg (September) 0.9780

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0319 0.9774 0.9955
February 1.0299 0.9825 1.0096
March 1.0332 0.9942 1.0172
April 1.0766 1.0228 1.0497
May 1.1463 1.0750 1.1122
June 1.1967 1.1352 1.1541
July 1.1950 1.1207 1.1618
August 1.2523 1.1206 1.1851
September 1.2672 1.2065 1.2333
October 1.2032 1.0899 1.1221
November 1.1712 1.1040 1.1251
December 1.1696 1.1412 1.1557