YEARLY HIGH
7.4902 HNL
YEARLY LOW
7.1131 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2717 HNL

2016 PGK to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 23, valuing the pair at 7.4902. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 7.1131.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3772 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.4394 to the December average rate of 7.3493, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.4902 was down 8.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.2049, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,451 HNL
2015 Average 39,268 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 35,565 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,885.75 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.4679
7.1257
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.3023, compared to 7.2411 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0612 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.3023
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2411

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.1704 HNL (High: 7.3295 / Low: 7.1590). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0486 HNL (High: 7.2347 / Low: 7.1861).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1704
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0486

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1487 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1487

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 7.4394) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.0998), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6604 (-8.15%).

2016 Avg (January) 7.4394
2015 Avg (January) 8.0998

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.4902 7.3840 7.4394
February 7.4631 7.3734 7.4250
March 7.4652 7.3103 7.3787
April 7.3295 7.1590 7.2300
May 7.2693 7.1131 7.1542
June 7.2736 7.1451 7.1868
July 7.2465 7.1315 7.1990
August 7.2347 7.1861 7.2174
September 7.2395 7.1542 7.2072
October 7.2505 7.1761 7.2123
November 7.3203 7.1670 7.2615
December 7.3997 7.2423 7.3493