YEARLY HIGH
4.6878 LSL
YEARLY LOW
3.5781 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0201 LSL

2018 PGK to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 16, valuing the pair at 4.6878. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 25, dropping to 3.5781.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1097 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7819 to the December average rate of 4.2367, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.6878 was up 3.59% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.5254, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,439 LSL
2017 Average 20,864 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 17,890 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,548.37 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.5139
3.6020
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7927, compared to 4.2476 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4549 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7927
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2476

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.4466 LSL (High: 4.6878 / Low: 4.2411). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1365 LSL (High: 3.7305 / Low: 3.5940).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.4466
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1365

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1405 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.4379) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.1077), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3302 (+8.04%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.4379
2017 Avg (September) 4.1077

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8529 3.6769 3.7819
February 3.7925 3.5781 3.6792
March 3.7305 3.5940 3.6780
April 3.8260 3.6362 3.7263
May 3.9017 3.7341 3.8409
June 4.2080 3.8227 4.0500
July 4.2153 3.9817 4.0791
August 4.4101 3.9951 4.1972
September 4.6878 4.2411 4.4379
October 4.4352 4.2376 4.3376
November 4.3210 4.0808 4.1971
December 4.3256 4.0569 4.2367