YEARLY HIGH
2.5269 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.3788 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4566 MOP

2018 PGK to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 9, valuing the pair at 2.5269. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 2.3788.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1481 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4987 to the December average rate of 2.3937, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.5269 was down 1.16% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.5565, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,634 MOP
2017 Average 12,579 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 11,894 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 740.40 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.5162
2.3825
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4909, compared to 2.4224 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0685 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4909
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4224

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0502 MOP (High: 2.4873 / Low: 2.4371). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0153 MOP (High: 2.4668 / Low: 2.4516).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0502
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0153

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0204 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0204

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 2.5048) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.5204), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0156 (-0.62%).

2018 Avg (March) 2.5048
2017 Avg (March) 2.5204

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.5158 2.4877 2.4987
February 2.5235 2.4840 2.5050
March 2.5269 2.4840 2.5048
April 2.5079 2.4794 2.4903
May 2.4889 2.4567 2.4762
June 2.4873 2.4371 2.4703
July 2.4668 2.4516 2.4585
August 2.4582 2.4353 2.4424
September 2.4516 2.4194 2.4297
October 2.4207 2.4019 2.4093
November 2.4184 2.3915 2.4007
December 2.4023 2.3788 2.3937