2016 PGK to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

37.7919 RSD

YEARLY LOW

33.6087 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

35.5325 RSD

2016 PGK to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 23, valuing the pair at 37.7919. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 33.6087.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1832 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.4197 to the December average rate of 36.8745, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 37.7919 was down 12.27% compared to the 2015 peak of 43.0783, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 188,960 RSD

2015 Average 196,898 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 168,044 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,915.90 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

37.7168

34.1512

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.6345, compared to 35.4306 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.6345

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.4306

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 2.4158 RSD (High: 37.3864 / Low: 34.9706). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5457 RSD (High: 34.8826 / Low: 34.3369).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.4158

September Spread (Stable) ±0.5457

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.4119 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4119

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 37.4197) against the same month in 2015 (average: 40.5108), the exchange rate shifted by -3.0911 (-7.63%).

2016 Avg (January) 37.4197

2015 Avg (January) 40.5108

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	37.7919	37.1122	37.4197
February	37.2167	35.6529	36.3823
March	37.3864	34.9706	36.1031
April	35.1795	33.9868	34.6912
May	35.4135	33.6087	34.4484
June	35.8222	34.2347	34.7619
July	35.6779	34.7513	35.2016
August	35.1005	34.3468	34.7086
September	34.8826	34.3369	34.6622
October	35.7735	34.4840	35.1879
November	36.7940	34.8966	35.9490
December	37.4921	35.9077	36.8745