YEARLY HIGH
1794.7825 VEF
YEARLY LOW
1517.4063 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1660.1057 VEF

2019 PKR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the PKR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1794.7825. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 30, dropping to 1517.4063.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 277.3762 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1781.7333 to the December average rate of 1603.9763, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1794.7825 was down 11.82% compared to the 2018 peak of 2035.3926, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 500,000 PKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 897,391,268 VEF
2018 Average 501,312,119 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 758,703,154 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 138,688,114.38 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1805.9969
1536.8819
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PKR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1737.4734, compared to 1582.7380 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 154.7353 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1737.4734
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1582.7380

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 181.0271 VEF (High: 1698.4334 / Low: 1517.4063). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.7233 VEF (High: 1608.0619 / Low: 1600.3386).

June Spread (Volatile) ±181.0271
December Spread (Stable) ±7.7233

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 93.4936 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -93.4936

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 1783.5706) against the same month in 2018 (average: 147.6623), the exchange rate shifted by +1635.9084 (+1107.87%).

2019 Avg (February) 1783.5706
2018 Avg (February) 147.6623

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1787.6809 1773.8635 1781.7333
February 1794.7825 1777.4666 1783.5706
March 1792.5168 1764.5137 1777.5306
April 1770.5801 1748.2121 1755.5395
May 1756.7735 1631.6557 1709.9799
June 1698.4334 1517.4063 1616.4863
July 1587.5734 1531.0540 1559.3082
August 1582.5861 1546.5968 1559.6948
September 1596.4251 1579.8779 1586.4017
October 1597.9236 1581.6701 1590.0698
November 1603.7896 1591.1868 1596.9774
December 1608.0619 1600.3386 1603.9763