2018 PYG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6846 UGX

YEARLY LOW

0.6210 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6503 UGX

2018 PYG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PYG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 0.6846. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.6210.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0636 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6447 to the December average rate of 0.6267, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6846 was up 1.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6714, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PYG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,423 UGX

2017 Average 3,210 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,105 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 318.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6786

0.6220

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PYG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6599, compared to 0.6408 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0191 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6599

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6408

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0402 UGX (High: 0.6836 / Low: 0.6435). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0050 UGX (High: 0.6688 / Low: 0.6638).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0402

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0050

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0168 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0168

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 0.6739) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6434), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0304 (+4.73%).

2018 Avg (June) 0.6739

2017 Avg (June) 0.6434

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6523	0.6401	0.6447
February	0.6550	0.6408	0.6501
March	0.6689	0.6548	0.6624
April	0.6688	0.6638	0.6668
May	0.6699	0.6547	0.6613
June	0.6846	0.6571	0.6739
July	0.6836	0.6435	0.6570
August	0.6523	0.6417	0.6468
September	0.6536	0.6433	0.6496
October	0.6491	0.6250	0.6351
November	0.6341	0.6245	0.6293
December	0.6327	0.6210	0.6267