YEARLY HIGH
0.6786 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.5898 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6307 GEL

2018 RON to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 0.6786. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 0.5898.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0888 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6708 to the December average rate of 0.6515, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6786 was down 2.50% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6960, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,393 GEL
2017 Average 3,089 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 2,949 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 443.84 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6776
0.5958
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6420, compared to 0.6194 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0227 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6420
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6194

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0620 GEL (High: 0.6518 / Low: 0.5898). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0113 GEL (High: 0.6219 / Low: 0.6107).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0620
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0113

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0185 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0185

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.6708) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6368), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0340 (+5.35%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.6708
2017 Avg (January) 0.6368

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6786 0.6565 0.6708
February 0.6669 0.6414 0.6523
March 0.6548 0.6412 0.6474
April 0.6497 0.6353 0.6422
May 0.6360 0.6147 0.6249
June 0.6229 0.6083 0.6146
July 0.6219 0.6107 0.6154
August 0.6264 0.5962 0.6132
September 0.6246 0.6095 0.6162
October 0.6097 0.5936 0.6026
November 0.6518 0.5898 0.6172
December 0.6599 0.6441 0.6515