YEARLY HIGH
3.6436 MVR
YEARLY LOW
3.3497 MVR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4844 MVR

2026 RON to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the RON to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 3.6436. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 3.3497.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2939 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5607 to the December average rate of 3.3725, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3.6436 was up 1.51% compared to the 2025 peak of 3.5895, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,218 MVR
2025 Average 17,260 MVR
Yearly Trough Low 16,749 MVR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,469.41 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3.6049
3.3514
JanuMarcMayJuly

RON to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5031, compared to 3.3725 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1306 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5031
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3725

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.1215 MVR (High: 3.6436 / Low: 3.5221). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0324 MVR (High: 3.3929 / Low: 3.3604).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1215
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0324

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1179 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1179

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 3.5607) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3.2045), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3562 (+11.12%).

2026 Avg (January) 3.5607
2025 Avg (January) 3.2045

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6436 3.5221 3.5607
February 3.6165 3.5556 3.5838
March 3.5812 3.4621 3.5078
April 3.5835 3.4911 3.5462
May 3.4823 3.4135 3.4283
June 3.4259 3.3497 3.3916
July 3.3929 3.3604 3.3725