YEARLY HIGH
25.7081 RSD
YEARLY LOW
25.1537 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
25.4071 RSD

2018 RON to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 25.7081. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 25.1537.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5544 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.4987 to the December average rate of 25.4371, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 25.7081 was down 6.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 27.6066, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 128,541 RSD
2017 Average 132,779 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 125,768 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,772.02 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

25.5163
25.3047
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 25.4022, compared to 25.4119 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0097 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 25.4022
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.4119

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.3900 RSD (High: 25.7081 / Low: 25.3181). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1259 RSD (High: 25.3840 / Low: 25.2582).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3900
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1259

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1325 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1325

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 25.4987) against the same month in 2017 (average: 27.4800), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9813 (-7.21%).

2018 Avg (January) 25.4987
2017 Avg (January) 27.4800

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 25.7081 25.3181 25.4987
February 25.5951 25.3082 25.4147
March 25.5127 25.2685 25.3591
April 25.4577 25.2431 25.3633
May 25.5463 25.2662 25.4548
June 25.3840 25.2582 25.3224
July 25.5256 25.2892 25.3805
August 25.6001 25.2891 25.4282
September 25.5933 25.3546 25.4692
October 25.4559 25.3222 25.3779
November 25.4678 25.1537 25.3788
December 25.6161 25.3504 25.4371