YEARLY HIGH
5338.7388 STD
YEARLY LOW
5073.8592 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5239.7574 STD

2018 RON to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 5338.7388. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 5073.8592.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 264.8796 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5296.3372 to the December average rate of 5150.8617, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5338.7388 was down 2.65% compared to the 2017 peak of 5483.8410, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,693,694 STD
2017 Average 26,815,744 STD
Yearly Trough Low 25,369,296 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,324,397.81 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5312.5598
5117.8877
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5268.2232, compared to 5211.2916 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 56.9316 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5268.2232
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5211.2916

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 199.7254 STD (High: 5317.8223 / Low: 5118.0969). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 56.2959 STD (High: 5296.5637 / Low: 5240.2678).

August Spread (Volatile) ±199.7254
February Spread (Stable) ±56.2959

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 87.0177 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -87.0177

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5296.3372) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5447.4806), the exchange rate shifted by -151.1435 (-2.77%).

2018 Avg (January) 5296.3372
2017 Avg (January) 5447.4806

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5338.7388 5251.4698 5296.3372
February 5296.5637 5240.2678 5264.7252
March 5299.2190 5237.5234 5262.2255
April 5297.7987 5205.9226 5251.5216
May 5302.5999 5233.9725 5274.8590
June 5288.4881 5211.8281 5259.6705
July 5322.1851 5246.2759 5277.6557
August 5317.8223 5118.0969 5230.6902
September 5326.6698 5243.3805 5280.7245
October 5246.1260 5106.7646 5193.7068
November 5165.9194 5073.8592 5134.1104
December 5205.1010 5105.3985 5150.8617