2016 RSD to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1496 ALL

YEARLY LOW

1.0857 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1161 ALL

2016 RSD to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 1.1496. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 1.0857.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0639 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1265 to the December average rate of 1.0959, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1496 was down 2.64% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.1808, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,748 ALL

2015 Average 5,788 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 5,429 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 319.41 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1326

1.0926

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1250, compared to 1.1073 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0177 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1250

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1073

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0329 ALL (High: 1.1496 / Low: 1.1166). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0067 ALL (High: 1.1171 / Low: 1.1104).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0329

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0067

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0112 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0112

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1.1275) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1556), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0280 (-2.42%).

2016 Avg (February) 1.1275

2015 Avg (February) 1.1556

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1343	1.1168	1.1265
February	1.1496	1.1166	1.1275
March	1.1320	1.1158	1.1230
April	1.1376	1.1187	1.1292
May	1.1335	1.1163	1.1249
June	1.1372	1.1088	1.1188
July	1.1163	1.0978	1.1076
August	1.1201	1.1026	1.1094
September	1.1171	1.1104	1.1140
October	1.1175	1.1052	1.1114
November	1.1125	1.0997	1.1053
December	1.1046	1.0857	1.0959